Blogginlägg med etiketten investors

Karine Hirns bild
2010-05-06 (Comments)

On May 5 we officially launched East Capital in Hungary. We do believe in the potential of the Central and Eastern Europe markets as a valuable source of new investors. Even though most of these markets are still largely underdeveloped and remain mostly conservative there is an increasing interest in getting exposure to equity markets through funds provided by specialists.

East Capital in Hungary
Paul Carr, Karine Hirn and Andras Szalkai
 East Capital - Budapest
 Budpest, Hungary

 

As we are one of the largest investors in the region with a well-established reputation we can establish ourselves as the fund manager of choice for investors in these countries as well. Initial plans to do so were suspended during the financial crisis but as we see an improved market sentiment it is now time to resume these efforts, which are centralised out of our Vienna office. Things will not happen overnight and that’s part of our long term development perspective. However we are committed to this idea and considering the interest raised during our day in Budapest one can be confident for the future.

People in Central and Eastern Europe do not tend to save much and instead spend most of their disposable income, which we have been happy for, considering the fact that we overweight our funds towards sectors and companies that benefit from the strong consumption boom. However as the economies are developing and the markets are maturing it is clear that saving products, have and will, become more popular. As I sometimes put it, the transition process can also be described as “first you buy a new fridge, then a car, then a charter trip, then investment funds”. Put differently it is clear that once you have filled your most immediate needs and desires if you have some money left you will start thinking of savings and then investments. Expansion of a domestic investor base is actually a crucial part of the long term development of the region and one can expect more reforms taking place to enable this. 

Many fund distribution channels in Central Europe are somewhat closed as they are dominated by the large banks that make sure that their own funds - regardless of their performance - will be pushed to clients. Some channels in Hungary are welcome exceptions as it is possible to identify and start cooperating with dynamic organizations that do recognize the value of working with specialists such as us. Institutions also represent an interesting segment.

That is the reason why we highlighted Hungary as an early candidate for registration of our Luxembourg SICAV fund range and the reason why Paul Carr, the Head of our Vienna Office, Andras Szalkai who is member of our Portfolio Management Team specifically advising on investments in Central Europe including his home country Hungary and myself headed to a Budapest on a warm and sunny day yesterday.

(Comments) | Taggar: Hungary, investors
Karine Hirns bild
2010-02-17 (Comments)

Judging by the size of the audience at the press brief I held in a cold and sunny Paris together with Jean-Marie Laporte, head of our Paris office, it was clear that the level of interest for the region we invest in is back. But there are still many misunderstandings about these markets, and some of the events that have taken place in Russia during the crisis have unfortunately not helped.

For a number of historical and cultural reasons, the French and Russians have much in common including mutual appreciation and respect for each other. But what has always been striking to me as a French national - during the 1990s when I used to live in Russia or today when talking about Russia to investors and media representatives in France - is the fact that these cultural ties do not lead to more understanding in how to do business or how to invest in Russia. French Foreign Direct Investments in Russia amounted to only USD 0.4 billon in 2008, which is 9 times less than investments from the UK and 6 times less than investments from Germany. The bulk of our own French investor base has chosen to invest in our Eastern European Fund, considering our Russian fund to be far too exotic, while the EU convergence theme for Eastern and Central European countries is easier to grasp.

 

There is an information gap when it comes to the business environment in Russia and the bad news always seems to outweigh the good news. Public opinion in France tends to focus on the fact that the French retailer Carrefour has decided to withdraw from the Russian market, while at the same time choosing to ignore the immense success its competitor Auchan has achieved in the very same market.  Media remembers the alarming debts levels of some of the oligarch-owned companies in the middle of the crisis but fails to notice that the Russian banking system is strongly capitalized today. Investors are left with the long-standing memory that Russian GDP fell 8% and hardly believe the forecasted GDP growth of 5% for 2010. High debt was also a buzz word I heard during these two days, applying both to Russia and the rest of Eastern Europe, and it was a privilege to show how well most of our markets stand on this specific issue, both in terms of public sector and total debt to GDP, while also explaining the implications of low debt for future growth in these economies.  

I suppose that highlighting some of these favorable features is not only necessary in France but basically anywhere in the world. The information gap – leading to a high perceived risk – must be one of the reasons that Russia and many Eastern European markets today trade at an unjustified high discount compared to other emerging markets. This also explains why so little of the record-high inflows to emerging markets funds in 2009 (USD 80 billion) was invested in EMEA funds in comparison to inflows to Asia, Latin American and global emerging markets.

(Comments) | Taggar: investors, media, Russia

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Långsiktighet och lokal närvaro är grunden för East Capitals investeringsfilosofi. I den här bloggen vill vi dela med oss av aktuella insikter från Östeuropa & Kina och dess investeringsklimat. Engelska är gemensamt för de flesta av våra investerare och är därför det främsta språket för blogginläggen.

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Våra bloggare

  • Karine Hirns bild

    Partner och Chief Representative, Shanghai-kontoret. Karine bloggar om East Capital, våra fondprodukter och ger direktrapporter från Shanghai.

  • Marcus Svedbergs bild

    East Capitals chefekonom fokuserar på makroekonomi, analyser och omvärldshändelser som påverkar utvecklingen i regionen.

  • Vesna Luccas bild
    East Capitals kommunikationschef skriver främst om East Capital som företag och aktuella mediefrågor.
  • Kristina Sandklefs bild

    Kristina, makroekonom Asien, delar med sig av sina erfarenheter och analyserar trender och händelser som påverkar Kina.

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